What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Santiago Gonzalez / Hendrik Jebens

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Gonzalez / Jebens vs Arribage / Olivetti

chance of YES2%

Price range (16h)

1–31%

24h volume

1.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.