What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Arthur Fils

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Fils vs Michelsen

chance of YES100% +33.0pp in 24h

Price range (26h)

62–99%

24h volume

1.7M

$1 contracts

Open interest

975.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$921K

98% on YES

hourly, 26h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 2:37 PM ET	YES	98¢	6,039	$6K
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,478	$1K
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,695	$2K
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	YES	94¢	6,647	$6K
Oct 23, 2:35 PM ET	YES	82¢	4,276	$4K
Oct 23, 2:35 PM ET	YES	89¢	3,902	$3K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	YES	89¢	3,111	$3K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	YES	88¢	11,973	$10K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	NO	22¢	5,208	$1K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	YES	82¢	1,806	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.