What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Alex Michelsen

Settles Nov 06, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Fils vs Michelsen

chance of YES0% -35.0pp in 24h

Price range (25h)

1–39%

24h volume

2.3M

$1 contracts

Open interest

880.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$674K

18% on YES

hourly, 25h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	NO	94¢	2,533	$2K
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	NO	94¢	2,626	$2K
Oct 23, 2:36 PM ET	NO	94¢	4,596	$4K
Oct 23, 2:35 PM ET	NO	82¢	1,364	$1K
Oct 23, 2:35 PM ET	NO	83¢	3,139	$3K
Oct 23, 2:35 PM ET	NO	89¢	1,403	$1K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	NO	88¢	8,061	$7K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	NO	80¢	1,590	$1K
Oct 23, 2:34 PM ET	NO	82¢	2,418	$2K
Oct 23, 2:33 PM ET	YES	17¢	26,775	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.