Will "All I Want for Christmas Is You" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?

Settles Dec 28, 2026 (58d) All outcomes: "All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Jan 2, 2027)

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chance of YES88%
Price range (120d)
86–88%
24h volume
21
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$5K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES88¢ 2,162$2K
YES84¢ 3,996$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.