What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Corrupt / Corruption

Settles Nov 08, 2026 (15d) All outcomes: What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin?

chance of YES80% +12.5pp in 24h

Price range (38h)

67–72%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

129

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 38h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.