What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Israel / Netanyahu

Settles Nov 08, 2026 (15d) All outcomes: What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin?

chance of YES60% +9.5pp in 24h

Price range (28h)

50–66%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 28h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.