What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Callum Turner

Settles Jan 01, 2030 (1166d) All outcomes: Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

chance of YES26% +2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

20–49%

30d -51 pts · 7d -29 pts

24h volume

3.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

315.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

22¢ / 24¢

spread 2.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 23.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.