What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCulture & Media

Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

Jack Lowden

Settles Jan 01, 2030 (1166d) All outcomes: Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

chance of YES62% +23.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

4–55%

30d -9 pts · 7d +3 pts

24h volume

12.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

105.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

43¢ / 44¢

spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
43.0¢	19	44.0¢	147
42.0¢	24	45.0¢	1,011
41.0¢	1,236	46.0¢	753
40.0¢	1,000	54.0¢	246
35.0¢	50	55.0¢	200

Mid 43.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Related stocks

BOND

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Callum Turner26%3.5K

Josh O'Connor21%3.0K

Paul Mescal12%1.7K

Jack Barton10%5.7K

Robert Pattinson8%2.7K

Jonathan Bailey5%456

Jacob Elordi4%15.9K

Idris Elba4%68

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 7:28 PM ET	YES	61¢	3,980	$2K
Oct 21, 3:14 PM ET	YES	36¢	3,200	$1K
Oct 14, 5:17 PM ET	YES	40¢	4,276	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.