What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

Above $200000

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 31.2K Open interest 2.0M Event Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 8% · Low 4% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -16.7pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 5.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.