kalshi
Crypto
Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?
Above $200000
4%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 8% ·
Low 3%
· 7d -25.0pp
· 30d -40.0pp
Recent news mentioning this market
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Bitcoin slips to trade above $63,000 but records 7.5% July gain
Investing.com · 7h ago
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing in a 4% chance that Bitcoin will be above $200,000 by January 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. This assessment is based on current market conditions and known facts about the cryptocurrency's performance to date. The price of this prediction reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing various factors such as Bitcoin's historical volatility, regulatory developments, and broader economic trends. A significant change in any of these factors could impact the price of this prediction, potentially driving it up or down. For example, a major regulatory shift or a prolonged period of market stability could increase the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching this target price, while persistent volatility or a decline in investor confidence could decrease its chances.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0¢ | 33243 | 4.0¢ | 76631 | |
| 2.0¢ | 217403 | 5.0¢ | 73588 | |
| 1.0¢ | 172864 | 6.0¢ | 25000 | |
| 7.0¢ | 6010 | |||
| 8.0¢ | 1 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.