kalshi Crypto

Will Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?

Above $200000
Closes Jan 01, 2027 (152d) 24h volume 35.4K Open interest 2.4M Event Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
4%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 8% · Low 3% · 7d -25.0pp · 30d -40.0pp
8%3%

Recent news mentioning this market

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing in a 4% chance that Bitcoin will be above $200,000 by January 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. This assessment is based on current market conditions and known facts about the cryptocurrency's performance to date. The price of this prediction reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing various factors such as Bitcoin's historical volatility, regulatory developments, and broader economic trends. A significant change in any of these factors could impact the price of this prediction, potentially driving it up or down. For example, a major regulatory shift or a prolonged period of market stability could increase the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching this target price, while persistent volatility or a decline in investor confidence could decrease its chances.
Generated Jul 29, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
3.0¢ 33243 4.0¢ 76631
2.0¢ 217403 5.0¢ 73588
1.0¢ 172864 6.0¢ 25000
7.0¢ 6010
8.0¢ 1
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.