What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

50,000 first

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 18.6K Event Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?

60%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 72% · Low 35% · 7d -14.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.