What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCrypto

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: When will Bitcoin cross $100k again? Live crypto prices

chance of YES1%

Price range (120d)

1–32%

30d -90 pts · 7d -50 pts

24h volume

5.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

187.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$96K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 26, 9:45 AM ET	NO	99¢	11,732	$12K
Oct 26, 9:41 AM ET	NO	99¢	42,000	$42K
Oct 25, 7:41 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,708	$2K
Oct 24, 11:39 AM ET	NO	99¢	5,856	$6K
Oct 24, 5:13 AM ET	NO	99¢	35,990	$36K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.