What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 17, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles May 17, 2027 (197d) All outcomes: The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026

chance of YES56% +3.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

33–91%

24h volume

200

$1 contracts

Open interest

446

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.