What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles May 18, 2027 (198d) All outcomes: Cheesecake Factory total restaurants at end of fiscal 2026

chance of YES96% +6.5pp in 24h

Price range (2d)

61–90%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.