What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Hike 25bps

Settles Dec 09, 2026 (50d) All outcomes: Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

chance of YES32% -17.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–96%

· 7d -19 pts

24h volume

610

$1 contracts

Open interest

4.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.