Will Bank of Canada maintain the current rate at their October 2026 meeting?

Maintains rate
Settles Oct 28, 2026 (8d) All outcomes: Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

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chance of YES68% -16.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
57–96%
30d +33 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
33.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
75.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
67¢ / 68¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
67.0¢ 80 68.0¢ 66
66.0¢ 200 69.0¢ 148
65.0¢ 1,370 70.0¢ 222
64.0¢ 1,005 71.0¢ 670
63.0¢ 5 72.0¢ 270

Mid 67.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO35¢ 4,700$2K
NO33¢ 6,900$2K
YES84¢ 7,079$6K
NO18¢ 6,760$1K
YES83¢ 12,818$11K
YES79¢ 1,923$2K
YES81¢ 5,469$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.