What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 190000

Settles Mar 04, 2027 (135d) All outcomes: Coeur Mining gold production in Q3

chance of YES82% -4.0pp in 24h

Price range (36h)

81–85%

24h volume

104

$1 contracts

Open interest

430

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 36h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.