What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 200000

Settles Mar 04, 2027 (135d) All outcomes: Coeur Mining gold production in Q3

chance of YES46% +31.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–15%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

256

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.