What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 26, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Aug 26, 2027 (297d) All outcomes: Chipotle total restaurant count in Q1 2027

chance of YES16% -81.5pp in 24h

Price range (15h)

19–98%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 15h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.