What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Exactly 3.0%

Settles Dec 10, 2026 (48d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in November (exact value)

chance of YES2% +4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

1–1%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

202

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.