What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Exactly 4.2%

Settles Dec 04, 2026 (41d) All outcomes: Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?

chance of YES46% +72.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

8–19%

24h volume

362

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.