What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

1,250 to 1,499.99

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 71 Open interest 36.3K Event Ethereum price at the end of 2026

12%

implied YES probability

Last 57 days · High 15% · Low 4% · 7d -24.2pp · 30d +145.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.