What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2033. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiHealth

Settles Jan 01, 2033 (2253d) All outcomes: Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

chance of YES36% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

35–45%

30d -5 pts · 7d -5 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

4.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.