What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 10, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 10, 2028 (436d) All outcomes: Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

chance of YES18% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

12–19%

24h volume

757

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.