What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

73° to 74°

chance of YES6%

Price range (7h)

5–9%

24h volume

1.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

992

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 7h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.