What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 12, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above $60 billion

Closes May 12, 2027 (237d) 24h volume 4.7K Open interest 2.3K Event Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026

78%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 83% · Low 36% · 7d +130.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.