K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Republican win the House race for AR-02?

French Hill
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: AR-02 House winner? Polls & election odds

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Preview
chance of YES84% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
80–91%
· 7d +0 pts
24h volume
3.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
36.6K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
83.0¢ 108 84.0¢ 474
82.0¢ 11,980 85.0¢ 520
79.0¢ 3,075 86.0¢ 837
56.0¢ 400 87.0¢ 3,379
55.0¢ 2,793 93.4¢ 2

Mid 83.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Chris Jones16%2.9K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES85¢ 29,545$25K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.