What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Ilhan Omar

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: MN-05 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES94%

Price range (120d)

92–99%

· 7d -1 pts

24h volume

36.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

282.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

94¢ / 95¢

spread 0.8¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 94.5¢ · spread 0.8¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 18, 8:31 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,113	$1K
Oct 18, 1:04 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,422	$1K
Oct 17, 9:14 PM ET	YES	95¢	8,090	$8K
Oct 16, 9:46 PM ET	YES	97¢	7,239	$7K
Oct 16, 7:42 PM ET	YES	94¢	3,000	$3K
Oct 16, 9:06 AM ET	YES	94¢	1,258	$1K
Oct 16, 1:36 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,450	$2K
Oct 15, 7:24 AM ET	NO	8¢	22,992	$2K
Oct 15, 6:56 AM ET	YES	94¢	1,138	$1K
Oct 13, 11:32 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,244	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.