Degroot / Simons wins
chance of YES25%
+43.0pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
2–99%
24h volume
12.5K
Open interest
6.7K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Bilicic / Wriedt71%12.2K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 91¢ | 1,709 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.