Andrea Paolini wins
chance of YES44%
+3.5pp in 24h
Price range (43h)
29–63%
24h volume
46.6K
Open interest
21.2K
Bid / ask
43¢ / 46¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 43hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43.0¢ | 22 | 46.0¢ | 1 |
| 42.0¢ | 117 | 47.0¢ | 44 |
| 41.0¢ | 127 | 48.0¢ | 83 |
| 40.0¢ | 248 | 49.0¢ | 41 |
| 39.0¢ | 350 | 50.0¢ | 72 |
Mid 44.5¢ · spread 3.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Matthias Ujvary54%66.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 62¢ | 1,968 | $1K | |
| NO | 61¢ | 2,062 | $1K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 2,062 | $1K | |
| YES | 90¢ | 2,205 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.