Matthias Ujvary wins
chance of YES54%
-1.5pp in 24h
Price range (46h)
40–71%
24h volume
66.6K
Open interest
35.7K
Bid / ask
51¢ / 56¢
Odds and volume
hourly, 46hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0¢ | 110 | 56.0¢ | 12 |
| 50.0¢ | 80 | 57.0¢ | 61 |
| 48.0¢ | 80 | 58.0¢ | 79 |
| 47.0¢ | 215 | 59.0¢ | 318 |
| 46.0¢ | 120 | 61.0¢ | 103 |
Mid 53.5¢ · spread 5.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Andrea Paolini44%46.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 88¢ | 2,208 | $2K | |
| NO | 51¢ | 2,341 | $1K | |
| YES | 61¢ | 2,341 | $1K | |
| YES | 67¢ | 3,664 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.