What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Boris Butulija

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Xia vs Butulija

chance of YES38%

Price range (13h)

29–64%

24h volume

331.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

113.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

16¢ / 59¢

spread 43.0¢

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 37.5¢ · spread 43.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Yue Xia46%220.3K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 2:58 AM ET	YES	55¢	2,115	$1K
Oct 22, 2:57 AM ET	NO	47¢	2,811	$1K
Oct 22, 2:56 AM ET	NO	46¢	4,705	$2K
Oct 22, 2:52 AM ET	NO	46¢	2,499	$1K
Oct 22, 2:49 AM ET	NO	46¢	2,262	$1K
Oct 22, 2:46 AM ET	NO	46¢	5,954	$3K
Oct 22, 2:46 AM ET	NO	46¢	3,400	$2K
Oct 22, 2:45 AM ET	YES	54¢	3,198	$2K
Oct 22, 2:44 AM ET	NO	46¢	2,160	$1K
Oct 22, 2:43 AM ET	YES	51¢	6,047	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.