What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Yue Xia

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Xia vs Butulija

chance of YES46%

Price range (8h)

39–71%

24h volume

220.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

92.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

20¢ / 72¢

spread 52.0¢

hourly, 8h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 46.0¢ · spread 52.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 2:59 AM ET	YES	47¢	10,166	$5K
Oct 22, 2:55 AM ET	YES	46¢	3,797	$2K
Oct 22, 2:44 AM ET	NO	58¢	4,532	$3K
Oct 22, 2:44 AM ET	NO	56¢	2,096	$1K
Oct 22, 2:43 AM ET	NO	53¢	3,616	$2K
Oct 22, 2:43 AM ET	NO	52¢	2,798	$1K
Oct 22, 2:43 AM ET	NO	52¢	2,291	$1K
Oct 22, 2:43 AM ET	NO	51¢	4,506	$2K
Oct 22, 2:43 AM ET	NO	51¢	3,333	$2K
Oct 22, 2:38 AM ET	YES	70¢	2,798	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.