What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

bautista de la Pena

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: de la Pena vs Sakamoto

chance of YES0%

Price range (16h)

1–11%

24h volume

495.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

301.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$96K

1% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 2:56 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,041	$1K
Oct 22, 2:56 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,934	$4K
Oct 22, 2:56 PM ET	NO	99¢	7,818	$8K
Oct 22, 2:55 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,528	$1K
Oct 22, 2:55 PM ET	NO	97¢	6,447	$6K
Oct 22, 2:54 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,863	$2K
Oct 22, 2:53 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,469	$1K
Oct 22, 2:43 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,063	$1K
Oct 22, 2:43 PM ET	NO	97¢	11,889	$12K
Oct 22, 2:40 PM ET	NO	95¢	1,169	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.