What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Pedro Sakamoto

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: de la Pena vs Sakamoto

chance of YES100%

Price range (9h)

94–99%

24h volume

86.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

74.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$46K

100% on YES

hourly, 9h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 22, 2:54 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,820	$2K
Oct 22, 2:54 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,036	$1K
Oct 22, 2:49 PM ET	YES	95¢	1,600	$2K
Oct 22, 2:38 PM ET	YES	90¢	3,000	$3K
Oct 22, 2:38 PM ET	YES	90¢	3,234	$3K
Oct 22, 2:33 PM ET	YES	87¢	2,212	$2K
Oct 22, 2:30 PM ET	YES	88¢	11,353	$10K
Oct 22, 2:12 PM ET	YES	93¢	1,605	$1K
Oct 22, 2:08 PM ET	YES	98¢	4,060	$4K
Oct 22, 1:34 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,012	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.