What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Davide Ciaschetti

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Ciaschetti vs Simoncelli

chance of YES100%

Price range (4h)

59–99%

24h volume

64.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

48.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$23K

100% on YES

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 0.0¢ · spread 0.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 6:48 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,593	$3K
Oct 27, 6:48 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,836	$2K
Oct 27, 6:47 AM ET	YES	88¢	1,247	$1K
Oct 27, 6:44 AM ET	YES	93¢	2,140	$2K
Oct 27, 6:43 AM ET	YES	91¢	1,310	$1K
Oct 27, 6:39 AM ET	YES	76¢	2,059	$2K
Oct 27, 6:34 AM ET	YES	72¢	6,474	$5K
Oct 27, 6:34 AM ET	YES	84¢	2,192	$2K
Oct 27, 6:33 AM ET	YES	77¢	1,382	$1K
Oct 27, 6:31 AM ET	YES	74¢	2,406	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.