What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

David Simoncelli

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Ciaschetti vs Simoncelli

chance of YES0%

Price range (2h)

1–45%

24h volume

137.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

89.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$21K

17% on YES

hourly, 2h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 6:48 AM ET	NO	96¢	2,684	$3K
Oct 27, 6:43 AM ET	NO	97¢	1,828	$2K
Oct 27, 6:43 AM ET	NO	96¢	4,069	$4K
Oct 27, 6:31 AM ET	NO	74¢	4,727	$4K
Oct 27, 6:30 AM ET	NO	77¢	1,405	$1K
Oct 27, 6:27 AM ET	NO	70¢	1,644	$1K
Oct 27, 6:02 AM ET	NO	68¢	2,047	$1K
Oct 27, 5:44 AM ET	NO	79¢	2,331	$2K
Oct 27, 5:33 AM ET	YES	51¢	4,727	$2K
Oct 27, 5:20 AM ET	YES	46¢	2,234	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.