What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 14, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Yamanaka vs Hazawa

chance of YES100%

Price range (16h)

39–99%

24h volume

280.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

120.2K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$61K

74% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 12:14 AM ET	YES	97¢	4,720	$5K
Oct 31, 12:13 AM ET	YES	91¢	5,026	$5K
Oct 31, 12:13 AM ET	YES	89¢	4,216	$4K
Oct 31, 12:12 AM ET	NO	51¢	3,711	$2K
Oct 31, 12:09 AM ET	NO	64¢	4,484	$3K
Oct 31, 12:09 AM ET	NO	63¢	3,700	$2K
Oct 31, 12:09 AM ET	YES	55¢	17,697	$10K
Oct 31, 12:08 AM ET	YES	70¢	1,871	$1K
Oct 31, 12:03 AM ET	NO	34¢	3,142	$1K
Oct 31, 12:03 AM ET	YES	67¢	1,768	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.