What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 14, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Maute vs Dzhavakian

chance of YES100%

Price range (9h)

31–99%

24h volume

238.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

125.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$76K

69% on YES

hourly, 9h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:49 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,428	$1K
Oct 31, 6:49 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,304	$1K
Oct 31, 6:46 AM ET	YES	96¢	4,142	$4K
Oct 31, 6:46 AM ET	YES	95¢	1,263	$1K
Oct 31, 6:46 AM ET	YES	96¢	2,036	$2K
Oct 31, 6:46 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,558	$1K
Oct 31, 6:46 AM ET	YES	96¢	2,185	$2K
Oct 31, 6:44 AM ET	YES	86¢	3,414	$3K
Oct 31, 6:42 AM ET	YES	78¢	37,370	$29K
Oct 31, 6:41 AM ET	YES	67¢	1,734	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.