What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Matt Gromlich

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 32 Open interest 1.4K Event LA-04 Democratic nominee?

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 41% · Low 0% · 7d -33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.