What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: San Luis vs Atlas

chance of YES96% +60.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

37–99%

24h volume

875.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

495.8K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$200K

88% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Tie4%294.6K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET	YES	99¢	26,881	$27K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	98¢	3,061	$3K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,203	$1K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,057	$2K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,057	$2K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,503	$1K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,543	$1K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,503	$1K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,503	$1K
Oct 30, 11:00 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,418	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.