America wins
chance of YES42%
-0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
39–43%
24h volume
15.6K
Open interest
82.8K
Bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0¢ | 14,125 | 43.0¢ | 78,970 |
| 41.0¢ | 8,233 | 44.0¢ | 160,143 |
| 40.0¢ | 6,230 | 45.0¢ | 96,149 |
| 39.0¢ | 10,767 | 46.0¢ | 41,650 |
| 38.0¢ | 3,987 | 47.0¢ | 41,232 |
Mid 42.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 39¢ | 32,158 | $13K | |
| YES | 38¢ | 9,602 | $4K | |
| YES | 38¢ | 2,754 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.