What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $212.5

Settles Aug 19, 2027 (295d) All outcomes: Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027

chance of YES98%

Price range (13h)

97–98%

24h volume

679

$1 contracts

Open interest

467

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.