What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above $262.5

Settles Aug 19, 2027 (295d) All outcomes: Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027

chance of YES16%

Price range (7h)

16–43%

24h volume

866

$1 contracts

Open interest

855

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 7h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.