What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 71%, implying a 71% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 30, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 280,500 jobs

Settles Apr 30, 2027 (193d) All outcomes: Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?

chance of YES71% +14.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

10–44%

· 7d +8 pts

24h volume

5.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

14.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$2K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 19, 12:39 AM ET	YES	40¢	4,469	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.