What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 70%, implying a 70% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (70d) All outcomes: Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

chance of YES70% +16.0pp in 24h

Price range (4h)

38–46%

24h volume

200

$1 contracts

Open interest

300

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.