What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Illinois vs Maryland: 1st Half Spread

chance of YES22% -26.5pp in 24h

Price range (13h)

46–48%

24h volume

32.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

26.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$11K

25% on YES

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 12:16 PM ET	NO	65¢	3,054	$2K
Oct 31, 12:04 PM ET	NO	47¢	4,626	$2K
Oct 31, 11:58 AM ET	NO	52¢	7,442	$4K
Oct 31, 11:41 AM ET	YES	49¢	3,054	$1K
Oct 31, 11:25 AM ET	YES	49¢	2,463	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.