California wins
chance of YES28%
-2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
28–30%
24h volume
18.1K
Open interest
23.9K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
NC St.74%6.1K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 73¢ | 2,945 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.