What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Wisconsin vs Iowa

chance of YES44% -0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

34–45%

· 7d +32 pts

24h volume

222.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

318.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

43¢ / 44¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 43.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Iowa56%272.4K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 9:34 AM ET	YES	44¢	4,373	$2K
Oct 31, 6:49 AM ET	YES	44¢	2,405	$1K
Oct 31, 3:56 AM ET	NO	57¢	2,121	$1K
Oct 31, 2:58 AM ET	NO	56¢	41,720	$23K
Oct 31, 2:52 AM ET	YES	45¢	6,419	$3K
Oct 31, 1:17 AM ET	YES	45¢	10,638	$5K
Oct 30, 11:14 PM ET	YES	45¢	5,349	$2K
Oct 30, 11:13 PM ET	YES	45¢	14,978	$7K
Oct 29, 6:30 PM ET	YES	40¢	66,482	$27K
Oct 29, 6:23 PM ET	YES	40¢	12,500	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.