Liberty wins by over 9.5 points
chance of YES50%
-2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
52–55%
24h volume
38.7K
Open interest
43.7K
Bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0¢ | 177,316 | 51.0¢ | 317,468 |
| 49.0¢ | 173,072 | 52.0¢ | 327,099 |
| 48.0¢ | 120,826 | 53.0¢ | 138,841 |
| 47.0¢ | 28,814 | 54.0¢ | 12,536 |
| 46.0¢ | 41,275 | 55.0¢ | 10,092 |
Mid 50.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Liberty wins by over 10.5 points46%58.7K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 51¢ | 9,478 | $5K | |
| NO | 50¢ | 6,218 | $3K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 2,000 | $1K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 4,749 | $3K | |
| YES | 53¢ | 2,200 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.