Liberty wins by over 10.5 points
chance of YES46%
-1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
47–53%
24h volume
58.7K
Open interest
60.0K
Bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0¢ | 182,460 | 47.0¢ | 370,737 |
| 45.0¢ | 226,674 | 48.0¢ | 298,098 |
| 44.0¢ | 118,813 | 49.0¢ | 136,734 |
| 43.0¢ | 51,679 | 50.0¢ | 28,745 |
| 42.0¢ | 31,626 | 51.0¢ | 3,350 |
Mid 46.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Liberty wins by over 9.5 points50%38.7K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 48¢ | 10,050 | $5K | |
| NO | 52¢ | 40,000 | $21K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.